Thursday, September 13, 2012

For Anyone Following the November Election

On July 26, Obama was ahead of Romney nationally by 1 point (46 to 45 in the average of all public polls). Massive advertising and media coverage about Bain Capital and allegations of felony tax evasion helped Obama to open up a lead of 5 pts (48 to 43) as of August 11, his largest lead since April of this year.

After announcing the selection of Pau
l Ryan as Romney's running mate and the Republican national convention, Romney's campaign experienced an uninterrupted bounce of 4 points, peaking on September 5 and tying Obama (47 to 47).

After the Democrat's national convention, Obama's average in the polls peaked on September 10 at 49, a 2 point gain.

As of today, September 13, Romney is now at 45 and Obama leads Romney by an average of 3.3 points. His lead has shrunken over the past 3 days.

Anything else you've heard on the news or from your favorite pundits in the past 6 weeks has been pure chatter.

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